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cardiovascular · Mechanism Report

Is the chromosome 9p21 rs10757278 GG genotype associated with higher coronary artery disease risk?

The rs10757278 GG genotype is associated with increased relative susceptibility to coronary artery disease.

PlausibleSeptember 14, 202610 Sources

Reasoning Paths

Each route from condition to outcome carries a support score — the product of its edge weights. Select one to isolate it on the figure.

This is what AI claimed

The chromosome 9p21 rs10757278 GG genotype is associated with increased coronary artery disease risk and adverse vascular remodeling pathways involving vascular-cell proliferation and senescence.

laying out figure…
2 of 8 paths supported
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How to read the figure

Evidence state

  • ●EstablishedStrong, replicated evidence.
  • ◐ModerateEvidence-informed; limited or moderate.
  • ◇PlausibleMechanistically coherent, not established.
  • ✕UnsupportedTested and not supported — link breaks.
  • ?MissingNo evidence either way — untested.

Node shapes

  • BiomarkerA measurable state — a lab value, hormone, or genetic factor.
  • ProcessA biological process, pathway, or mechanism step.
  • ConditionA condition, exposure, intervention, or symptom.
  • OutcomeThe endpoint the claim leads to.

Executive summary

This claim links the GG genotype at chromosome 9p21 rs10757278 to higher coronary artery disease risk. The mechanism graph frames the association through adverse vascular remodeling, including increased vascular-cell proliferation and related changes in cell-cycle control. Senescence and altered inflammatory transcriptional responses are also part of the proposed pathway, though the exact causal variant may be linked rather than rs10757278 itself.

Verified conclusion

Chromosome 9p21.3 is among the most reproducible inherited CAD-susceptibility loci. For a 57-year-old man, rs10757278 GG indicates increased relative susceptibility, but does not determine whether CAD will occur and should be interpreted alongside conventional risk factors and baseline risk.

Clinical association

  • GG homozygosity is supported as a marker of higher CAD risk. Adjusted studies reported odds ratios of 2.08 (95% CI 1.19–3.66) for Polish premature CAD, 3.05 (1.09–8.57) for Chinese early-onset CAD, and 1.91 (1.35–2.68) for Chinese angiography-defined acute coronary syndrome.
  • Consistent directional evidence comes from meta-analytic G-allele data: per-G-allele CAD OR approximately 1.36 (95% CI 1.27–1.45). The apparent GG effect varies with ancestry, disease definition, reference genotype, and covariate adjustment.

Vascular-remodeling mechanisms

  • The locus is noncoding and tags a 9p21 risk haplotype rather than proving that rs10757278 is itself the causal nucleotide. Risk-haplotype biology is linked to reduced ANRIL/CDKN2B-AS1, p16^INK4a^ (CDKN2A), and p15^INK4b^ (CDKN2B) expression in primary vascular smooth-muscle cells.
  • Reduced cell-cycle restraint is associated with increased smooth-muscle proliferation. Engineered and iPSC-derived models further report dedifferentiation, impaired adhesion/contractility, and calcification-prone osteochondrogenic phenotypes—changes compatible with maladaptive arterial-wall remodeling.
  • rs10757278 also lies in a vascular regulatory region in which risk variation can disrupt interferon-γ-responsive STAT1 binding, altering chromatin contacts and inflammatory transcriptional responses.
  • Senescence is biologically credible through ANRIL–CDKN2A/CDKN2B signaling, but is not established as a direct GG-specific vascular phenotype; available models may instead show diminished senescence.

Bottom line

  • GG is a well-supported genetic marker of increased CAD susceptibility, with moderately supported links to proliferative, phenotypically dysregulated vascular remodeling. Senescence remains a plausible but incompletely demonstrated part of that pathway.

References

  1. A common variant on chromosome 9p21 affects the risk of ... - PubMed — pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov ↗
  2. Polymorphisms on chromosome 9p21 confer a risk for acute coronary syndrome in a Chinese Han population - PubMed — pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov ↗
  3. Genetic Association of rs10757278 on Chromosome 9p21 ... — pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov ↗
  4. The rs10757278 Polymorphism of the 9p21.3 Locus Is ... - PMC — pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov ↗
  5. Functional analyses of coronary artery disease associated variation on chromosome 9p21 in vascular smooth muscle cells - PubMed — pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov ↗
  6. Article — cell.com ↗
  7. Genetic association of ANRIL with susceptibility to Ischemic stroke: A comprehensive meta-analysis — journals.plos.org ↗
  8. p19<sup>ARF</sup>Deficiency Reduces Macrophage and Vascular Smooth Muscle Cell Apoptosis and Aggravates Atherosclerosis: — jacc.org ↗
  9. Genetic analysis of six SNPs in candidate genes associated ... - NIH — pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov ↗
  10. 9p21 DNA variants associated with coronary artery disease impair ... — pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov ↗

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